Briefly, let's ignore the rabbit and look at the elephant - the emerging picture on police misconduct diversionary, thats a separate Investigation that can be handled by local apparatus.
For an Intelligence Analyst I would particularly be interested with the national security imparatives that demands bankers to know their clients
We would want to know how khs.6 million shillings ($60,000) was accessed outside the banking system.
Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) rules designed to stem terror financing, and money laundering are very clear that any withdrawal of more than khs.1 million must be promptly reported.
Unless the trader concealed withdrawals by drawing less a million several times, and again this ideally ought to have been flagged
Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) Intelligence would be interested to know whether the trader is tax compliance, and engages in legitimate trade.
The - way - I - see - it, this incident suggest there's some aspect of colusion between the trader, and a banker
The fact is the theft is an indication of a deal going sideways between the Congolese national, and the Somalia trader
The rogue officers were involved, are simply opportunists, itself also represent key specteral crime data on crime scattering.
The emerging crime trend in transregional/Transnational Organized crime, is the increased Congolese and Ugandan content in the planning and execution of transregional crime at entry points.
These groups are activate in specific Border points - The staging areas are the lake basin region, Malaba, Busia, and isebania border crossing.
Kisumu port was a smuggling pipeline, but not anymore. The deployment of the National Youth Service, the Kenya Coast Gaurds Services (KCGS), and the Kenya Navy to revitilize Kisumu port, has disrupted the pipeline
The port accomplices have no space at the pier anymore, with the increased security at the lake basin region - organized crime will cannibalize itself.
The tightening of security arrengments at the Mombasa port, and the Inland Container Depot Nairobi, in effect scattered crime to the border areas, particularly vulnerable are facilities operated by ports authorities.
The risk being the officers have not been vetted, much as Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) has made efforts to clean it's Operations.The threat picture has it that operational deployment has largely followed a patronage system.
It will be interesting to know whether the khs.6 million would be linked to payments to corrupt and circumvent security controls in the logistics chain, itself is an indication that the multiagency teams are doing a good job cracking down on counterfeit trade.
The hypothesis here is that the Somalian trader sought to secure some form of access to smuggle contraband into the lucrative Nairobi Illicit markets.
The smuggling pipelines that are active are the arteries along the Northern Corridor, now with the diruptions at the Kisumu pier, one can only guess that middle men are desperate, and will resort to thefts and violence, the recent demonetization has left accomplices who practiced mattress banking poor. Consequently, losing out on luxury lifestyles amid money laundering crackdown by the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK).
Criminal hypothesis definition:
"A supposition, assumption, or theory; a theory set up by the prosecution,on a criminal trial, or by the defense, as an explanation of the facts in evidence,and a ground for inferring guilt or innocence, as the case may be, or asindicating a probable or possible motive for the crime."
