1 November 2019: Analysis - US/ Turkey/ Syria/ ISIS



The conflict began on 15 March 2011, with demonstrations. Protesters demanded the resignation of President Bashar al-Assad.

In 2013 Hezbollah entered the war in support of the Syrian army. Foreign 'meddling' and a desire to have President Bashar al-Assad toppled created a refugee crisis, as russia came through to defend al-Assad.

The number of Syrians in Turkey is estimated at over 3.6 million people as of June 2019, the refugee population in Turkey created a lucrative humanitarian agency and a thriving blackmarket in Turkey-Syrian border.

Turkish companies and Economy overnight become excessively liquid, leveraging on massive amounts of money fleeing Syria into turkey, with Businesses benefiting consideribly from commodities such as smuggled syrian oil, jewlery, expertise and other movable assets emptying out of syrian.


The Syrian economy experienced strong growth throughout the 1990s, and into the 2000s. With a pre-war population estimated to have been 22 million (2017), citizens and permanent residents, with per capita GDP was 4,058 US dollars in 2010. There is no authoritative GDP data available after 2012, due to Syria's civil war. We are starting to see Turkish GDP numbers speak in favour of the civil war.

The GDP per capita of Turkey in 2013 was $12,395, $842 higher than in 2012, it was $11,553. In 2017 turkey's numbers now excite bookmakers.


Of course with a thriving blackmarket, there will be few rogue military, Political and Intelligence apparatus who will seek to maintain 'disruptions'in Syria for private benefit, and for geopolitical strategy. My advice to Americans is to stop digging, least they suffer the misfortune of finding out who the true ISIS is - while at it, think of Islamic State militants in Somalia - who have threatened to release jihadist materials in Amharic — a step unmistakably aimed at winning recruits in restive, neighboring Ethiopia, mmmmh what would an African know ?!